![]() I started reading the Almanac of American Politics and watching more shows and reading more books about who these members were.” ![]() “I started writing down a list of all the names, states, and parties of all the members I’d see speaking, and my goal was to collect all 435 of them,” he says. Born in New Brunswick, New Jersey, in 1985, Wasserman, as his name may indicate, is Jewish, and came from a family that reveres data - his father, Bruce, taught biochemistry and food science at Rutgers University.Īs an 11-year-old, Dave says, he became “obsessed with politics.” He was flipping through the TV channels when he came across C-Span, the channel that broadcasts House and all political proceedings, and became intrigued by the congressional floor debates. Ominously for Republicans, Wasserman has suggested that barring a “red wave” of GOP victories throughout the country, Democrats are on their way to retaining their majority in the House, simply by redistricting their way through.ĭave Wasserman has always loved numbers. This could decimate Republican caucuses in blue states such as New York. The new maps, which are constitutionally required to reflect the outcome of the 2020 census, are right now in the process of being finalized by state legislatures across the county - and many of them are being tilted in favor of the Democrats. Wasserman - whose Twitter handle is has seen enough to confirm that the Democrats’ redrawing of Congressional district boundaries has gone from insider baseball to a national story. If this were a normal year, predicts Wasserman, then Democratic efforts to maneuver the post-redistricting maps would give them a shot at keeping their majority. That, however, is predicated on a fed-up electorate intent on “throwing the bums out,” as the axiom goes. Wasserman’s blog entry for FiveThirtyEight, written two months before the 2016 election and titled “How Trump Could Win the White House While Losing the Popular Vote,” proved prescient, and cemented his reputation as an elections wunderkind.įor the upcoming midterm elections, Wasserman’s crystal ball predicts that Republicans are on track to take back Congress, “perhaps by a convincing margin.” He estimates that they could win between 15 and 30 House seats, and one to three Senate seats. Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight blog marveled at how “Wasserman’s knowledge of the nooks and crannies of political geography can make him seem like a local.” That list includes the Associated Press, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, and the New York Times. The prominent Cook Political Report’s elections expert, whose purview is the House of Representatives, is on the elite list of prognosticators whose calling of races is deemed definitive. So says polling guru Dave Wasserman, whose catchphrase, “I’ve seen enough,” has become a political sphere meme.ĭave Wasserman, 37, crunches survey numbers the way most Americans eat breakfast cereal. And the fault lines will run right through a handful of states including New York. ![]() Republicans who think the US House of Representatives is already in the bag for them pending this November’s midterm elections had better sit up and take notice of Democratic redistricting efforts. Elite polling guru Dave Wasserman on Democrats' redistricting plan ![]()
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